Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 2.246150 2.582272 2.955214 3.400327 3.917968 4.501977 5.212236
2025-05-11 1.717586 2.159580 2.698848 3.408053 4.320443 5.460424 7.001608
2025-05-18 1.431925 1.911645 2.535576 3.412167 4.621045 6.242618 8.604614
2025-05-25 1.203364 1.684825 2.343748 3.319994 4.744259 6.768810 9.904802
2025-06-01 1.075311 1.569335 2.276268 3.373815 5.057016 7.576791 11.702046
2025-06-08 0.979517 1.483308 2.233473 3.448125 5.396850 8.454715 13.721244
2025-06-15 0.885915 1.386447 2.158728 3.457314 5.627335 9.181205 15.592503
2025-06-22 0.790365 1.273826 2.043903 3.383565 5.706281 9.661027 17.104711
2025-06-29 0.715296 1.184839 1.955306 3.339063 5.822970 10.210640 18.809427
2025-07-06 0.646382 1.098045 1.859794 3.268942 5.881530 10.658070 20.381223
2025-07-13 0.625822 1.091314 1.899108 3.440281 6.396140 11.999669 23.874134
2025-07-20 0.583566 1.041575 1.856837 3.455786 6.617180 12.809341 26.418077
2025-07-27 0.552019 1.013204 1.859634 3.576078 7.097548 14.275457 30.771926
2025-08-03 0.507481 0.956853 1.806307 3.585518 7.369430 15.388851 34.648179
2025-08-10 0.468092 0.905214 1.754843 3.589806 7.628151 16.511763 38.768546
2025-08-17 0.422826 0.836559 1.661221 3.492495 7.650367 17.114223 41.766152
2025-08-24 0.397927 0.806054 1.640977 3.549316 8.025203 18.582913 47.233906
2025-08-31 0.377407 0.782151 1.631354 3.627774 8.461660 20.271250 53.645217
2025-09-07 0.353054 0.747290 1.594036 3.637477 8.734317 21.602727 59.384229
2025-09-14 0.324351 0.699811 1.523578 3.559610 8.777903 22.357337 63.657553
2025-09-21 0.300802 0.661301 1.468942 3.512626 8.893143 23.320956 68.771294
2025-09-28 0.277693 0.621382 1.406693 3.438600 8.926284 24.067960 73.399445
2025-10-05 0.272903 0.623396 1.442928 3.619493 9.677056 26.965240 85.587146